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SPECIFIC CHASSIS SKIN
GOLDEN TART genuine on pace runner in a race without much early speed and should run fitter for past attempts, outside hope.
RANDAROCK on a seven day back-up and should run fitter for past attempts, for the wider exotics. Ebony Royal (1) 3. Lochend Emmarose (2) 1. Lara Lad (4) EBONY ROYAL resumes after a spell of 26 weeks and expected to settle off the speed, serious player. THEMOOSE resumes from a 15 week spell and should be near the speed in a race without much early pace, include in exotics.
LOCHEND EMMAROSE finished in the middle of the pack last start at Woolamai and placed once this prep at Yea, capable of getting into the money with a bit of luck. Looks the leader and will take plenty of catching, for the wider exotics.
Norsika (4) Scratched 2. King Mapoora (7) ScratchedStand-out between the top two picks. NORSIKA all wins have come when faced with dry ground, genuine contender. DEHUGHES coming off a win at Yea and two of four wins have come from dry ground, can figure. FOLD resumes from a 28 week spell and four from five wins have been in the dry, in with a chance.
KING MAPOORA has two placings from nine runs this prep and four of five wins have come from dry ground, not without each-way claims. Code It (1) 3. Dad 'n' Bri's Shed (8) 5. Salaqua (6) MAGNYTE has good early speed and won once this prep at Yea two runs back, major contender. CODE IT drawn perfectly, place hope.
DAD 'N' BRI'S SHED 2 wins from four attempts this campaign and all wins have come when faced with dry ground, quinella. SALAQUA has shown early speed in races to date and may fade late, place claims.
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The web link between the two companies is not a solicitation or offer to invest in a particular security or type of security. OK CancelSee the Full List of Stocks To Beat EarningsZacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) looks to find companies that have recently seen positive earnings estimate revision activity.
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I know it is not as sexy or important as the president, but senate races are just really exciting. Wisconsin and Illinois are very likely Democrats gains from Republicans in blue states. Nevada is now a tight hold for the Democrats. Indiana, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, and Florid are all leaning Republican by a whisker.
Ohio and North Carolina are leaning Republican a little more strongly. The chart tracks the probability of victory on PredictWise since we started state-by-state predictions on February 27, 2016.
I know that an efficient market should have everything priced in immediately, but the state-by-state predictions have slipped slightly above the national predictions in the last few days.
She just needs to win one of those and she is president. At this point I have been constructing the predictions independently and they have stayed very consistent.
If this divergence continues I will become increasingly concerned about whether the national markets are suppressed. If there is a good lesson for American public opinion from Brexit it this. The two set of voters: leave and remain, live in a totally different reality. The remain voters got increasingly freaked out about the British economy as a possibility turned into a reality. The leave voters, most of them, assume that it was meaningless fit of the elite bankers who were upset they did not get their way.
A small fraction of leave voter regret their vote. But, remain would most likely win a re-vote, because a huge number of non-voters feel silly for not voting remain. Brexit happened, what does that mean for the USA.
This does not affect how I predict the USA election, because (1) the USA has a long history of data versus a one-shot event (2) the USA has many outcomes to calibrate on versus just one outcome (3) we have more data for the USA election than Brexit.
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But, we certainly learned that a segment of the UK voters really want immigration restrictions and trade barriers. And then there were two. While Bernie Sanders is technically still running, Donald Trump v. This lead may be surprisingly small to some people (Democrats) or surprisingly large to others (believers in fundamental models). A lot more to follow in the next 6 months and 4 days. It has been so much fun, but there is a really good chance that the primary effectively ends in 30 minutes feeling nostalgic yet.
A quick post on the state of the election at 191 until Election Day. Also, just added Newt Gingrich into the Republican VP slot should keep an eye on him. We pushed some updates to the site this morning. Musings will be brief updates on data, so I can reserve blog posts for more complete thoughts. Our polling reflects bleeding-edge research into cost-effective, fast, flexible, and accurate polling with an emphasis on politics and finance. We infuse raw polling data with machine-learning-based post-polling analytics along with a host of other data.
The backbone of predictions on this site are market-based, generated from real-money markets that trade contracts on upcoming events. PredictWise is run by David Rothschild an innovative, and stylish economist at Microsoft Research in New York City, but should in no way be construed as representing the views or predictions of Microsoft or any of its entities. How do these match. Prior to the end of the primary strategic or upset party voters will state they will not vote for the other possible nominees.
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